Troy vs Middle Tennessee 11/24/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Troy winning 52% of simulations, and Middle Tennessee 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Troy commits fewer turnovers in 27% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Middle Tennessee wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Corey Robinson is averaging 349 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Logan Kilgore is averaging 286 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIDTEN -2.5
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